An important study about the effects of a warming climate on Lake Tahoe and the surrounding Sierra Nevada mountains has just been released by scientists from the United States Geological Survey and the University of California, Davis (my alma mater).
Climate-Change Effects On Lake Tahoe
The news isn’t good. Two important takeaways
- A warmer Lake Tahoe will likely undergo profound compositional and ecological changes that will turn the clear blue water a turbid green from algae growth.
- Precipitation in the surrounding Sierra Nevada mountains will fall more as rain and less as snow. This will affect runoff patterns with increased flooding, and also increase drought as whatever snow does fall melts completely away much earlier in spring and summer.
From an article in the Sacramento Bee:
About 55 percent, on average, of the precipitation at lake level in Tahoe now falls as snow. By 2055, the study predicts snow will drop to about 45 percent – and to just 30 percent by the end of the century.
The result: a shorter ski season, and perhaps a spring without snow-capped peaks ringing the lake, said Robert Coats, lead author of the study and a visiting scholar at UC Davis.
“We’re looking at a shift from snowfall to rainfall, increased melt rate, and earlier melt,” Coats said. “Once you lose the snowpack, then you lose the late-spring water supply. So drought could begin earlier in the year.”
You can read the entire208-page study: “THE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON LAKE TAHOE IN THE 21st CENTURY: METEOROLOGY, HYDROLOGY, LOADING AND LAKE RESPONSE.”











John – wasn’t the snowpack more “normal” last year? I think it was in the Cascades, but not sure about the Shasta area.
Snowpack was above normal for much of northern California last winter. But we’re dealing with statistics here. Some years will have above-normal snowfall, others normal — but the overall predicted average trend is for less snow and more rain as a result of overall warming in the atmosphere.
I know I maybe a bit behind the times here, but I just saw Al Gore’s ‘An Inconvenient Truth’ and was shocked……..Climate Change is for real people….Time to wake up!
What are the chances that increased warming would bring more intense storms to the Tahoe region resulting increased winter snowfall. If storms out of the Gulf of Alaska were slightly warmer would they tend to carry more moisture – with a consequence of increased precipitation. Something like we seemed to be seeing along the eastern seaboard the past couple of winters?